Best prediction
Away Win
Burnley vs Derby
40.2%Confidence
Best odd4.30
England · ChampionshipLive data
Burnley
Sat, 19 Sep 2026
14:00
NS
Derby
1X2 predictionAway Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score1-2
Over 2.5Total goals
64.3%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
64.9%Probability
1-2Correct score
0%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
0%
Win rate
20%
1.1
Avg goals scored
1
2.1
Avg goals conceded
1.6
90%
Over 1.5
80%
70%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean sheets
10%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win31%
Draw28.8%
Away win40.2%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-026.6%
1-022.8%
0-118.3%
1-117.1%
2-115.2%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Away Win leads the model with 40.2% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 64.3% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 64.9%.
Data sample
10 recent Burnley matches and 10 recent Derby matches were compared.