Portugal · Primeira Liga

Live data

Nacional

Sat, 12 Sep 2026

1:3

Alverca

1X2 predictionHome Win

GoalsUnder 2.5

BTTSNo

Correct score2-0

Best prediction

Home Win

Nacional vs Alverca

73.7%Confidence

Best odd—

Other key markets

Under 2.5Total goals

52.5%Probability

NoBoth teams to score

54.3%Probability

2-0Correct score

25.4%Model confidence

Team comparison

NacionalBased on last 10 matches

AlvercaBased on last 10 matches

Matches analysed

10%

Win rate

40%

1.1

Avg goals scored

1.1

1.6

Avg goals conceded

1.2

80%

Over 1.5

70%

40%

Over 2.5

40%

50%

BTTS

50%

20%

Clean sheets

30%

1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model

Home win73.7%

Draw6.9%

Away win19.5%

Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates

2-025.4%

1-021.8%

2-118.1%

0-118.1%

1-116.6%

Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match

Primary signal

Home Win leads the model with 73.7% confidence.

Goals outlook

Under 2.5 is selected at 52.5% model probability.

BTTS outlook

Both teams to score: No at 54.3%.

Data sample

10 recent Nacional matches and 10 recent Alverca matches were compared.