Best prediction
Home Win
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union
75.1%Confidence
Best odd—
USA · Major League SoccerLive data
New York City FC
Sun, 16 Aug 2026
2:3
FT
Philadelphia Union
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
72%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
88%Probability
2-1Correct score
29.8%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
40%
Win rate
30%
1.6
Avg goals scored
1.9
1.3
Avg goals conceded
2.1
80%
Over 1.5
80%
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%
20%
Clean sheets
20%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win75.1%
Draw10.2%
Away win14.7%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-129.8%
0-122.4%
2-017.4%
1-115.5%
1-014.9%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 75.1% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 72% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 88%.
Data sample
10 recent New York City FC matches and 10 recent Philadelphia Union matches were compared.