Best prediction
Home Win
Penarol vs Club Nacional
78.7%Confidence
Best odd—
Uruguay · Primera DivisiónLive data
Penarol
Sun, 30 Aug 2026
0:1
FT
Club Nacional
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
72.4%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
59.5%Probability
2-1Correct score
18.1%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
60%
Win rate
50%
1.7
Avg goals scored
0.9
0.5
Avg goals conceded
1.1
60%
Over 1.5
60%
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean sheets
40%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win78.7%
Draw4.5%
Away win16.9%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-031.7%
1-027.1%
2-118.1%
1-114.8%
0-18.3%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 78.7% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 72.4% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 59.5%.
Data sample
10 recent Penarol matches and 10 recent Club Nacional matches were compared.