Best prediction
Home Win
Spartak Moscow vs Fakel
77.8%Confidence
Best odd1.38
Russia · Premier LeagueLive data
Spartak Moscow
Wed, 16 Sep 2026
1:0
FT
Fakel
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
62.5%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
60.6%Probability
2-1Correct score
5.6%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
50%
Win rate
0%
1.5
Avg goals scored
0.8
0.9
Avg goals conceded
1.5
90%
Over 1.5
60%
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win77.8%
Draw4.2%
Away win18%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-039.5%
1-033.9%
1-116.1%
2-15.6%
0-14.8%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 77.8% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 62.5% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 60.6%.
Data sample
10 recent Spartak Moscow matches and 10 recent Fakel matches were compared.