France · Ligue 3
Live data

Thionville Lusitanos

Fri, 14 Aug 2026
4:3
FT

Caen

1X2 predictionAway Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score1-2
Best prediction
Away Win

Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen

73.3%Confidence
Best odd
Other key markets
Over 2.5Total goals
82.2%Probability
Odds
YesBoth teams to score
78.8%Probability
Odds
1-2Correct score
0%Model confidence
Odds
Team comparison
Thionville LusitanosBased on last 5 matches
CaenBased on last 10 matches
5
Matches analysed
10
60%
Win rate
60%
2.8
Avg goals scored
2.4
1.2
Avg goals conceded
1.2
100%
Over 1.5
90%
100%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
60%
60%
Clean sheets
40%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win17.5%
Draw9.2%
Away win73.3%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-136.7%
2-018.3%
0-116%
1-015.7%
1-113.2%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal

Away Win leads the model with 73.3% confidence.

Goals outlook

Over 2.5 is selected at 82.2% model probability.

BTTS outlook

Both teams to score: Yes at 78.8%.

Data sample

5 recent Thionville Lusitanos matches and 10 recent Caen matches were compared.