Best prediction
Home Win
Verl vs MSV Duisburg
52.3%Confidence
Best odd—
Germany · 3. LigaLive data
Verl
Sat, 15 Aug 2026
2:4
FT
MSV Duisburg
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
72%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
71%Probability
2-1Correct score
26.4%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
50%
Win rate
50%
1.8
Avg goals scored
1.7
1.5
Avg goals conceded
1
80%
Over 1.5
70%
70%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean sheets
40%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win52.3%
Draw10.5%
Away win37.2%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-126.4%
2-023.1%
1-019.8%
0-115.8%
1-114.9%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 52.3% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 72% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 71%.
Data sample
10 recent Verl matches and 10 recent MSV Duisburg matches were compared.