Best prediction
Home Win
West Ham vs Derby
57.6%Confidence
Best odd—
England · ChampionshipLive data
West Ham
Sat, 05 Sep 2026
3:0
FT
Derby
1X2 predictionHome Win
GoalsOver 2.5
BTTSYes
Correct score2-1
Over 2.5Total goals
64.3%Probability
YesBoth teams to score
71.3%Probability
2-1Correct score
22.1%Model confidence
10
Matches analysed
10
30%
Win rate
30%
1.9
Avg goals scored
1.3
1.2
Avg goals conceded
1.5
90%
Over 1.5
90%
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean sheets
20%
1X2 probability breakdownCore match-result model
Home win57.6%
Draw3.7%
Away win38.7%
Top correct score candidatesRelative share among model candidates
2-025.8%
1-022.1%
2-122.1%
1-115.3%
0-114.7%
Prediction insightsHow the current model reads this match
Primary signal
Home Win leads the model with 57.6% confidence.
Goals outlook
Over 2.5 is selected at 64.3% model probability.
BTTS outlook
Both teams to score: Yes at 71.3%.
Data sample
10 recent West Ham matches and 10 recent Derby matches were compared.